25/06/2023 start of week

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The 18.6 Year Cycle Hasn’t Failed for 231 Years

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  The 18.6 Year Cycle Hasn’t Failed for 231 Years Stock markets… bond markets… real estate… all follow cycles. And I have been researching them for decades. For instance, did you know that every 18.6 years… since 1792… stock markets peaked, fell, and entered panics in consistent cycles? Take a look at the chart below. It tracks commodity cycles since 1792. (Click here to expand image) Or did you know that at the bottom of the cycle, new industries emerge, led by next-generation entrepreneurs? The cycle predicts that, too.
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Gold as inflation hedge and retain monies

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  On April 1st, 2019 gold was reclassified as a Tier 1 asset after having been a Tier 3 asset under previous Basel Agreements.    This means that it is recognized as a high-quality liquid asset (HQLA).⁴ This is why we believe commercial banks will move to holding more gold.   Gold has several characteristics that could make it an attractive addition to a bank's balance sheet, particularly during inflationary or stagflationary times:   Zero counterparty risk:  Gold does not rely on the creditworthiness of any institution or government, which means there is no risk of default associated with it. This can be appealing to banks, especially during times of economic uncertainty or stress. Hedge against inflation:  Gold has historically been seen as a hedge against inflation because its value tends to rise when the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines. In an inflationary environment, holding gold could help banks protect their balance sheets from the ...
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